Will the 2026 trade deficit be less than 500B?
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Market price
YES5¢ (5%)
NO95¢ (95%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $16.7K • Updated 1h agoCloses: 2027-02-28
Polymarket · General
OU's Pick
NO at 95¢ · pays 1.1×
Price gap
Polymarket95¢
→OU's fair95¢
Confidence
Moderate
The U.S. trade deficit reached 60.3 billion in March 2026 alone and is on track to far exceed the 500 billion annual threshold based on current monthly data.
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