US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market NO price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES14¢ (14%)
NO86¢ (86%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $149K • Updated 2h agoCloses: 2026-06-30 (26d)
Polymarket · General
OU's Pick
YES at 14¢ · pays 6.9×
Price gap
Polymarket14¢
→OU's fair15¢
+1¢ underpriced · pays 6.9×
Confidence
Moderate
The ongoing 2026 Cuban crisis and American fuel blockade indicate a severe breakdown in diplomatic relations that makes a trade agreement highly unlikely by the June deadline.
Off market consensus
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