US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
81¢
72¢
57¢
50¢
42¢
32¢
10¢
Polymarket • Volume: $86.6M • Updated 2h agoCloses: 2026-12-31
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
YES · December 31
at 81¢
Price gap
Polymarket81¢
→OU's fair62¢
−19¢ overpriced · pays 1.2×
Confidence
Moderate
A temporary ceasefire was reached in April 2026 but major issues like nuclear programs and sanctions remain unresolved in ongoing negotiations.
Wide edge+19¢
High volume$10.3M
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