Will the Democratic Party win the VA-04 House seat?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES93¢ (93%)
NO7¢ (7%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $3.3K • Updated 5h agoCloses: 2026-11-03
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
NO at 7¢ · pays 13×
Price gap
Polymarket7¢
→OU's fair7¢
Confidence
Low
Virginia's 4th district is a reliably Democratic stronghold that was won by a significant margin in the most recent special and general elections.
Off market consensus
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