Will the Democratic Party win the VA-05 House seat?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market NO price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES29¢ (29%)
NO71¢ (71%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $28.5K • Updated 16m agoCloses: 2026-11-03
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
NO at 71¢ · pays 1.4×
Price gap
Polymarket71¢
→OU's fair75¢
+4¢ underpriced · pays 1.4×
Confidence
Moderate
Virginia's 5th District is a historically Republican-leaning seat and recent redistricting has not fundamentally altered its partisan lean to favor Democrats.
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