Will the Republican Party win the VA-06 House seat?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES81¢ (81%)
NO19¢ (19%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $28.2K • Updated 16m agoCloses: 2026-11-03
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
YES at 81¢ · pays 1.2×
Price gap
Polymarket81¢
→OU's fair88¢
+7¢ underpriced · pays 1.2×
Confidence
Moderate
Virginia's 6th district is a historically safe Republican seat and recent redistricting reports indicate the new map maintains a strong GOP advantage for the 2026 cycle.
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