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Will the Democratic Party win the VA-11 House seat?

Market price history

Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.

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Market price
YES95¢ (95%)
NO5¢ (5%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $12.3K • Updated 33m agoCloses: 2026-11-03
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
YES at 95¢ · pays 1.1×
Price gap
Polymarket95¢
OU's fair95¢
Confidence
Moderate

Virginia's 11th District is a Democratic stronghold where the party consistently wins by large margins and recent local election results show continued dominance.

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