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Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026?

Market price history

Rolling 7-day window of market NO price with the OU fair-price range overlay.

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Market price
YES19¢ (19%)
NO81¢ (81%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $8.6K • Updated 23m agoCloses:
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
NO at 81¢ · pays 1.2×
Price gap
Polymarket81¢
OU's fair81¢
Confidence
Low

Incumbent Republican Phil Scott has historically won reelection by massive margins in this deep blue state and has not yet indicated he will retire.

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