Will the Democrats win the Virginia Senate race in 2026?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES93¢ (93%)
NO7¢ (7%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $7.9K • Updated 1h agoCloses:
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
NO at 7¢ · pays 13×
Price gap
Polymarket7¢
→OU's fair25¢
+18¢ underpriced · pays 13×
Confidence
Moderate
Incumbent Mark Warner holds a massive financial advantage with over fourteen million dollars in cash compared to less than sixty thousand for his leading Republican challengers.
Wide edge+18¢
Off market consensus
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