Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market NO price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES17¢ (17%)
NO83¢ (83%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $19.3K • Updated 25m agoCloses: 2026-12-31
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
NO at 83¢ · pays 1.2×
Price gap
Polymarket83¢
→OU's fair90¢
+7¢ underpriced · pays 1.2×
Confidence
Moderate
Ursula von der Leyen was re-elected to a second five-year term in July 2024 and is expected to lead the Commission until the 2029 European elections.
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