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WA-03 Primary Winners

Market price history

Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.

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Market price
John Braun94¢
Marie Gluesenkamp Perez★ BEST64¢
Brent Hennrich27¢
Antony Barran15¢
Lawrence Kellogg4¢
Eric Vaughan4¢
Suzzanna V. Tanner3¢
Polymarket • Volume: $41.3K • Updated 1h agoCloses: 2026-08-04
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
YES · Marie Gluesenkamp Perez
at 64¢
Price gap
Polymarket64¢
→
OU's fair84¢
+20¢ underpriced · pays 1.6×
Confidence
Moderate

Incumbent Marie Gluesenkamp Perez maintains a significant fundraising advantage and high visibility as the sitting representative for the district.

Wide edge+20¢
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