Will the Republicans win the West Virginia Senate race in 2026?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES96¢ (96%)
NO4¢ (4%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $6.9K • Updated 23m agoCloses:
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
NO at 4¢ · pays 26×
Price gap
Polymarket4¢
→OU's fair8¢
+4¢ underpriced · pays 26×
Confidence
Moderate
Incumbent Republican Shelley Moore Capito won her primary with a significant majority and West Virginia remains one of the most reliably Republican states in the country.
Off market consensus
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