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What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by May 31?

Market price history

Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.

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Market price
Unfreeze Iranian Assets31¢
Oil Sanction Relief★ BEST25¢
Enrichment of Uranium3¢
Transit Fees in the Strait of Hormuz2¢
Polymarket • Volume: $5.7M • Updated 4h agoCloses: 2026-05-31 (6d)
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
YES · Oil Sanction Relief
at 25¢
Price gap
Polymarket25¢
→
OU's fair15¢
−10¢ overpriced · pays 4.1×
Confidence
Moderate

Trump's rhetoric and recent market reports indicate a very low likelihood of any sanction relief or asset unfreezing before the May 31 deadline.

High volume$578k
Closes in6d 2h
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