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What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

Market price history

Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.

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Market price
4.25%9¢
3.5%★ BEST5¢
Polymarket • Volume: $605.9K • Updated 4h agoCloses: 2026-12-09
Polymarket · Financials
OU's Pick
YES · 3.5%
at 5¢
Price gap
Polymarket
OU's fair25¢
+20¢ underpriced · pays 19×
Confidence
Moderate

The current federal funds target upper limit is 3.75 percent as of May 2026 and recent FOMC minutes suggest a stable or slightly downward trajectory for the remainder of the year.

Wide edge+20¢
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