Which banks will fail by June 30?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
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Polymarket • Volume: $506K • Updated 1h agoCloses: 2026-06-30
Polymarket · General
OU's Pick
YES · Deutsche Bank
at 1¢
Price gap
Polymarket1¢
→OU's fair2¢
+1¢ underpriced · pays 95×
Confidence
Moderate
Major global banks are trading at floor probabilities with no reports of regulatory insolvency or non-viability as of May 2026.
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