OVER / UNDER
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Which bills will become law in 2026?

Market price history

Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.

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Market price
DEFIANCE Act★ BEST74¢
Housing for the 21st Century Act66¢
Export-control chip security57¢
FISA Section 702 reauthorization54¢
AI-chip export licensing53¢
Critical-minerals stockpile52¢
SHOWER Act51¢
Film/TV production expensing48¢
Credit-card routing competition47¢
SELF DRIVE Act46¢
Trump Airport39¢
Data center utility cost protection26¢
$2.50 Coin24¢
Smithsonian Women’s History Museum16¢
Polymarket • Volume: $103K • Updated 19m agoCloses: 2026-12-31
Polymarket · General
OU's Pick
YES · DEFIANCE Act
at 74¢
Price gap
Polymarket74¢
OU's fair54¢
20¢ overpriced · pays 1.4×
Confidence
Moderate

The DEFIANCE Act has already passed the Senate unanimously and has bipartisan support in the House through the Problem Solvers Caucus endorsement.

Wide edge+20¢
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