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Which cities will Russia enter by December 31?

Market price history

Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.

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Market price
Dopropillia55¢
Druzkhivka30¢
Sloviansk★ BEST27¢
Kramatorsk26¢
Sumy9¢
Kherson8¢
Zaporizhia7¢
Kharkiv3¢
Polymarket • Volume: $108.9K • Updated 1h agoCloses: 2026-12-31
Polymarket · World
OU's Pick
YES · Sloviansk
at 27¢
Price gap
Polymarket27¢
→
OU's fair15¢
−12¢ overpriced · pays 3.7×
Confidence
Moderate

Russian forces are currently pressuring Lyman but have not yet breached the significant defensive lines protecting the gateway to Sloviansk as of May 2026.

Wide edge+12¢
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