OVER / UNDER
which-companies-will-have-a-1-ai-model-by-december-31 ★ POLYMARKET ★ MULTI ★ which-companies-will-have-a-1-ai-model-by-december-31 ★ POLYMARKET ★ MULTI ★ which-companies-will-have-a-1-ai-model-by-december-31 ★ POLYMARKET ★ MULTI ★ which-companies-will-have-a-1-ai-model-by-december-31 ★ POLYMARKET ★ MULTI ★ which-companies-will-have-a-1-ai-model-by-december-31 ★ POLYMARKET ★ MULTI ★ which-companies-will-have-a-1-ai-model-by-december-31 ★ POLYMARKET ★ MULTI ★

Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?

Market price history

Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.

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Market price
Google76¢
OpenAI★ BEST34¢
xAI22¢
Meta16¢
Microsoft10¢
DeepSeek10¢
ByteDance9¢
Baidu9¢
Alibaba9¢
Moonshot9¢
Z.ai9¢
Amazon9¢
Mistral7¢
Meituan7¢
Polymarket • Volume: $20.2K • Updated 29m agoCloses: 2026-12-31
Polymarket · Companies
OU's Pick
YES · OpenAI
at 34¢
Price gap
Polymarket34¢
→
OU's fair85¢
+51¢ underpriced · pays 2.9×
Confidence
Moderate

OpenAI released multiple new models in March 2026 and maintains the strongest historical track record for holding the top position on major LLM leaderboards.

Wide edge+51¢
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