Which companies will have a #1 AI model by June 30?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
Not enough history yet for a chart.
New points land on each refresh — check back shortly.
New points land on each refresh — check back shortly.
Market price
100¢
8¢
3¢
3¢
3¢
3¢
2¢
2¢
2¢
2¢
1¢
Polymarket • Volume: $1.6M • Updated 3h agoCloses: 2026-06-30
Polymarket · Companies
OU's Pick
YES · OpenAI
at 8¢
Price gap
Polymarket8¢
→OU's fair11¢
+3¢ underpriced · pays 13×
Confidence
Low
OpenAI and Anthropic frequently trade the top spot on the Chatbot Arena leaderboard with new model releases and updates.
Affiliate link — we may earn a commission. Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.