Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Polymarket • Volume: $43.8K • Updated 1h agoCloses: 2026-12-31
Polymarket · World
OU's Pick
YES · Saudi Arabia
at 12¢
Price gap
Polymarket12¢
→OU's fair35¢
+23¢ underpriced · pays 8.3×
Confidence
Moderate
Saudi Arabia remains the most likely candidate for normalization due to ongoing US-led negotiations despite significant regional hurdles and the lack of official recognition.
Wide edge+23¢
High volume$13k
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