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Which countries will recognize Israel by June 30?

Market price history

Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.

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Market price
Kuwait6¢
Venezuela6¢
Qatar6¢
Indonesia5¢
Lebanon4¢
Saudi Arabia★ BEST4¢
Cuba3¢
Pakistan3¢
Tunisia3¢
Syria2¢
Bangladesh1¢
Iraq1¢
Malaysia1¢
Afghanistan1¢
North Korea1¢
Polymarket • Volume: $359.2K • Updated 29m agoCloses:
Polymarket · World
OU's Pick
YES · Saudi Arabia
at 4¢
Price gap
Polymarket
OU's fair
Confidence
Low

Saudi Arabia remains the most likely candidate for normalization due to ongoing diplomatic discussions despite significant regional hurdles.

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