Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES10¢ (10%)
NO90¢ (90%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $17.1K • Updated 52m agoCloses: 2026-06-30 (26d)
Polymarket · World
OU's Pick
YES at 10¢ · pays 10×
Price gap
Polymarket10¢
→OU's fair54¢
+44¢ underpriced · pays 10×
Confidence
Moderate
U.S. Central Command is actively guiding commercial ships through the Strait of Hormuz following a blockade that began in February 2026.
Wide edge+44¢
High volume$11k
Off market consensus
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