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Who will advance from the California Governor primary?

Market price history

Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.

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Market price
Steve Hilton84¢
Xavier Becerra★ BEST82¢
Tom Steyer40¢
Chad Bianco6¢
Kyle Langford2¢
Katie Porter2¢
Ché Ahn1¢
Zoltan Istvan1¢
Antonio Villaraigosa1¢
Sharifah Hardie1¢
Ian Calderon1¢
Raji Rab1¢
Javen Allen1¢
Sophia Brink1¢
Betty Yee1¢
Daniel Mercuri1¢
Ryan Tillman1¢
Matt Mahan1¢
Nicki Minaj1¢
Ramsey Robinson1¢
Ethan Agarwal1¢
David Serpa1¢
Brandon Jones1¢
Derek Grasty1¢
Butch Ware1¢
Tony Thurmond1¢
Jimmy Parker1¢
Carolina Buhler1¢
Dylan Colbert0¢
Leo Zacky0¢
Leonard Jackson0¢
David Thelen0¢
Nicholas Thompson0¢
Elaine Culotti0¢
Eric Swalwell0¢
Thunder Parley0¢
Polymarket • Volume: $754.3K • Updated 19m agoCloses: 2026-06-02 (8d)
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
YES · Xavier Becerra
at 82¢
Price gap
Polymarket82¢
→
OU's fair62¢
−20¢ overpriced · pays 1.2×
Confidence
Moderate

Xavier Becerra is consistently identified by major news outlets like CalMatters as a leading candidate in a crowded field for the top-two primary system.

Wide edge+20¢
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