KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market NO price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
Not enough history yet for a chart.
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Market price
YES8¢ (8%)
NO92¢ (92%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $53K • Updated 2h agoCloses: 2026-12-31
Polymarket · General
OU's Pick
NO at 92¢ · pays 1.1×
Price gap
Polymarket92¢
→OU's fair92¢
Confidence
Low
The 2017 referendum failed to achieve independence and current regional dynamics prioritize stability and budget negotiations with Baghdad over a formal declaration of statehood.
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