OVER / UNDER
who-will-win-the-2026-fields-medal ★ POLYMARKET ★ MULTI ★ who-will-win-the-2026-fields-medal ★ POLYMARKET ★ MULTI ★ who-will-win-the-2026-fields-medal ★ POLYMARKET ★ MULTI ★ who-will-win-the-2026-fields-medal ★ POLYMARKET ★ MULTI ★ who-will-win-the-2026-fields-medal ★ POLYMARKET ★ MULTI ★ who-will-win-the-2026-fields-medal ★ POLYMARKET ★ MULTI ★

Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?

Market price history

Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.

Not enough history yet for a chart.
New points land on each refresh — check back shortly.
Market price
Hong Wang★ BEST74¢
Vesselin Dimitrov55¢
Yu Deng52¢
Jack Thorne48¢
Jacob Tsimerman47¢
John Pardon36¢
Aleksandr Logunov34¢
Sam Raskin22¢
Alexander Efimov19¢
Julian Sahasrabudhe16¢
Will Sawin12¢
Polymarket • Volume: $528.1K • Updated 17m agoCloses: 2026-07-30
Polymarket · General
OU's Pick
YES · Hong Wang
at 74¢
Price gap
Polymarket74¢
→
OU's fair54¢
−20¢ overpriced · pays 1.4×
Confidence
Moderate

Hong Wang is a leading contender for the 2026 Fields Medal following her recent solution to the three-dimensional Kakeya conjecture.

Wide edge+20¢
Affiliate link — we may earn a commission. Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.