Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market NO price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES9¢ (9%)
NO91¢ (91%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $14.8K • Updated 25m agoCloses: 2026-12-31
Polymarket · Science and Technology
OU's Pick
NO at 92¢ · pays 1.1×
Price gap
Polymarket92¢
→OU's fair92¢
Confidence
Low
Chinese models like DeepSeek and Qwen are narrowing the performance gap but U.S.
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