Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES56¢ (56%)
NO44¢ (44%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $158.6K • Updated 2h agoCloses: 2026-12-31
Polymarket · General
OU's Pick
YES at 56¢ · pays 1.8×
Price gap
Polymarket56¢
→OU's fair70¢
+14¢ underpriced · pays 1.8×
Confidence
Moderate
Reports from the Middle East Institute and other news outlets confirm Kazakhstan formally joined the Abraham Accords on November 6, 2025.
Wide edge+14¢
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