Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES92¢ (92%)
NO8¢ (8%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $701.5K • Updated 36m agoCloses: 2026-12-31
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
YES at 92¢ · pays 1.1×
Price gap
Polymarket92¢
→OU's fair93¢
+1¢ underpriced · pays 1.1×
Confidence
Low
No Canadian provincial government has officially scheduled a secession referendum despite ongoing political rhetoric in Alberta and Quebec.
High volume$84k
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