Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market NO price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES14¢ (14%)
NO86¢ (86%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $139.6K • Updated 51m agoCloses: 2026-12-31
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
NO at 86¢ · pays 1.2×
Price gap
Polymarket86¢
→OU's fair86¢
Confidence
Low
There is no evidence of a scheduled referendum for Alberta independence in 2026 and such a vote would require significant legislative lead time that has not been initiated.
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