Will Alien arrests in New York hit 4800+ by June 30?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market NO price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES11¢ (11%)
NO89¢ (89%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $3.5K • Updated 5h agoCloses: 2026-06-30 (21d)
Polymarket · General
OU's Pick
NO at 89¢ · pays 1.1×
Price gap
Polymarket89¢
→OU's fair89¢
Confidence
Low
Historical ICE arrest data for New York City suggests that reaching a threshold of 4800 arrests within a single month is significantly higher than typical monthly volumes.
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