Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market NO price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES27¢ (27%)
NO73¢ (73%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $102.9K • Updated 6m agoCloses: 2026-12-31
Polymarket · General
OU's Pick
NO at 74¢ · pays 1.4×
Price gap
Polymarket74¢
→OU's fair82¢
+8¢ underpriced · pays 1.4×
Confidence
Moderate
The UAE already announced its withdrawal on April 28 2026 and the contract requires a second country to leave to resolve as Yes.
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