Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market NO price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES13¢ (13%)
NO87¢ (87%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $11.8K • Updated 1h agoCloses: 2026-06-30 (30d)
Polymarket · General
OU's Pick
YES at 13¢ · pays 7.7×
Price gap
Polymarket13¢
→OU's fair15¢
+2¢ underpriced · pays 7.7×
Confidence
Moderate
While Israel reportedly recognized Somaliland in late 2025 no other UN member states have followed suit despite ongoing diplomatic efforts with Ethiopia and other nations.
Off market consensus
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