Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by May 31?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market NO price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES13¢ (13%)
NO87¢ (87%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $15K • Updated 24m agoCloses: 2026-05-31 (5d)
Polymarket · General
OU's Pick
NO at 87¢ · pays 1.1×
Price gap
Polymarket87¢
→OU's fair95¢
+8¢ underpriced · pays 1.1×
Confidence
Moderate
The Pentagon designated Anthropic as a national security risk in February 2026 and the Trump administration ordered a phase-out of its technology across federal agencies.
Closes in5d 18h
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