Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES78¢ (78%)
NO22¢ (22%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $3.2K • Updated 3h agoCloses: 2026-12-31
Polymarket · Science and Technology
OU's Pick
NO at 22¢ · pays 4.4×
Price gap
Polymarket22¢
→OU's fair22¢
Confidence
Low
Rapid progress in frontier model coding capabilities suggests that multiple upcoming releases will likely surpass the current leaderboard benchmarks before the end of 2026.
Off market consensus
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