Will any AI model reach 1550 Math Arena Score by June 30, 2026?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market NO price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES11¢ (11%)
NO89¢ (89%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $2.3K • Updated 2h agoCloses: 2026-06-30 (25d)
Polymarket · Science and Technology
OU's Pick
YES at 11¢ · pays 9.3×
Price gap
Polymarket11¢
→OU's fair31¢
+20¢ underpriced · pays 9.3×
Confidence
Moderate
Recent search data indicates that top models like Gemini-3.1-Pro and Opus-4.6 are still significantly below the performance levels required to reach the 1550 score threshold.
Wide edge+20¢
Off market consensus
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