Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market NO price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES29¢ (29%)
NO71¢ (71%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $33.7K • Updated 43m agoCloses: 2026-12-31
Polymarket · World
OU's Pick
YES at 29¢ · pays 3.4×
Price gap
Polymarket29¢
→OU's fair30¢
+1¢ underpriced · pays 3.4×
Confidence
Low
Ongoing diplomatic tensions in the Middle East and Latin America maintain a persistent risk of ambassador expulsions through the end of the year.
Off market consensus
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