Will Canada's drop in population in 2026 be the largest on record?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market NO price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES41¢ (41%)
NO59¢ (59%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $1.6K • Updated 6h agoCloses: 2027-04-30
Polymarket · General
OU's Pick
NO at 59¢ · pays 1.7×
Price gap
Polymarket59¢
→OU's fair65¢
+6¢ underpriced · pays 1.7×
Confidence
Moderate
StatCan reports a population decrease of 102,000 for 2025 but the record for the largest annual drop requires sustained negative migration or birth trends through late 2026.
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