Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market NO price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES1¢ (1%)
NO99¢ (99%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $1.6M • Updated 51m agoCloses: 2026-06-30 (26d)
Polymarket · World
OU's Pick
NO at 99¢ · pays 1.0×
Price gap
Polymarket99¢
→OU's fair99¢
Confidence
Low
Current geopolitical reports indicate no active blockade or imminent announcement of a total naval or aerial exclusion zone around Taiwan as of early June 2026.
High volume$32k
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