Will El Salvador hold $1b+ of BTC by December 31, 2026?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market NO price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES39¢ (39%)
NO61¢ (61%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $8.5K • Updated 1h agoCloses: 2027-01-01
Polymarket · Financials
OU's Pick
YES at 39¢ · pays 2.6×
Price gap
Polymarket39¢
→OU's fair45¢
+6¢ underpriced · pays 2.6×
Confidence
Moderate
El Salvador holds approximately 5,750 BTC which requires a price of roughly $174,000 per coin to reach the $1 billion threshold by the end of 2026.
Off market consensus
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