Will France pass a national budget by December 31?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES48¢ (48%)
NO52¢ (52%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $6.1K • Updated 1h agoCloses: 2026-12-31
Polymarket · General
OU's Pick
YES at 48¢ · pays 2.1×
Price gap
Polymarket48¢
→OU's fair55¢
+7¢ underpriced · pays 2.1×
Confidence
Moderate
French institutional frameworks typically ensure budget continuity despite political friction but recent legislative delays and executive fears create significant uncertainty.
Off market consensus
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