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Will George R. R. Martin announce "The Winds of Winter" in 2026?

Market price history

Rolling 7-day window of market NO price with the OU fair-price range overlay.

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Market price
YES11¢ (11%)
NO89¢ (89%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $14.6K • Updated 56m agoCloses: 2026-12-31
Polymarket · General
OU's Pick
YES at 11¢ · pays 9.1×
Price gap
Polymarket11¢
OU's fair12¢
+1¢ underpriced · pays 9.1×
Confidence
Moderate

George R. R. Martin remains in the writing phase as of early 2026 and his publisher recently debunked a rumored release date as false.

Off market consensus
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