Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market NO price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES5¢ (5%)
NO95¢ (95%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $25K • Updated 2h agoCloses: 2026-12-31
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
YES at 5¢ · pays 19×
Price gap
Polymarket5¢
→OU's fair6¢
+1¢ underpriced · pays 19×
Confidence
Low
Greenland has not scheduled an independence referendum for 2026 and the current political focus remains on drafting a constitution rather than immediate separation from Denmark.
Off market consensus
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