Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES6¢ (6%)
NO94¢ (94%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $245.3K • Updated 1h agoCloses: 2026-06-30
Polymarket · World
OU's Pick
YES · Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?
at 0¢
Price gap
Polymarket0¢
→OU's fair5¢
+5¢ underpriced
Confidence
Moderate
Hamas has consistently maintained that it will not disarm without the establishment of an independent Palestinian state and has rejected previous international calls to do so.
High volume$41k
Off market consensus
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