Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market NO price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES10¢ (10%)
NO90¢ (90%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $105.6K • Updated 54m agoCloses: 2026-12-31
Polymarket · World
OU's Pick
NO at 91¢ · pays 1.1×
Price gap
Polymarket91¢
→OU's fair95¢
+4¢ underpriced · pays 1.1×
Confidence
Moderate
Ongoing military conflict and severe diplomatic tensions between Israel and Iran in 2026 make a formal embassy reopening extremely unlikely within the current calendar year.
High volume$33k
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