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Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by...?

Market price history

Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.

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Market price
September 3097¢
June 3085¢
May 31★ BEST8¢
Polymarket • Volume: $13.7K • Updated 1h agoCloses: 2026-09-30
Polymarket · Science and Technology
OU's Pick
YES · May 31
at 8¢
Price gap
Polymarket
OU's fair85¢
+77¢ underpriced · pays 13×
Confidence
Moderate

OpenAI began training its next frontier model in early 2024 and reports indicate training convergence was expected by March 2026.

Wide edge+77¢
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