Will Republicans win any Senate or Governor's Election in a Biden-Trump state?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES80¢ (80%)
NO20¢ (20%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $1.5K • Updated 2h agoCloses: 2026-11-03
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
NO at 20¢ · pays 5.0×
Price gap
Polymarket20¢
→OU's fair20¢
Confidence
Low
Republicans are defending and contesting several seats in states like Georgia and Arizona that flipped in 2024 and historically lean toward the GOP in midterm cycles.
Off market consensus
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