Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market NO price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES28¢ (28%)
NO72¢ (72%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $2.3K • Updated 5h agoCloses: 2026-09-30
Polymarket · World
OU's Pick
YES at 28¢ · pays 3.6×
Price gap
Polymarket28¢
→OU's fair35¢
+7¢ underpriced · pays 3.6×
Confidence
Moderate
Russian forces have intensified efforts against Chasiv Yar but the city remains a pivotal and well-defended stronghold as of late 2025 reports.
Off market consensus
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