Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026?
Price history — Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026?
Last 7 days of market NO price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
YES1¢ (1%)
NO99¢ (99%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $360.8K • Updated 1h agoCloses: 2026-06-30 (20d)
Polymarket · Sports
OU's Pick
YES at 1¢ · pays 143×
Price gap
Polymarket1¢
→OU's fair15¢
+14¢ underpriced · pays 143×
Confidence
Moderate
Russian forces remain far from capturing the entire oblast as of mid-2026 despite ongoing offensive operations documented by the Institute for the Study of War.
Wide edge+14¢
Off market consensus
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