Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2026?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market NO price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES3¢ (3%)
NO97¢ (97%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $178.4K • Updated 5h agoCloses: 2026-12-31
Polymarket · World
OU's Pick
YES at 3¢ · pays 39×
Price gap
Polymarket3¢
→OU's fair15¢
+12¢ underpriced · pays 39×
Confidence
Moderate
Recent reports from early 2026 indicate that Ukrainian battlefield successes have countered Russian claims of inevitable territorial gains in the region.
Wide edge+12¢
Off market consensus
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