Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market NO price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES20¢ (20%)
NO80¢ (80%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $156.5K • Updated 2h agoCloses: 2026-12-31
Polymarket · World
OU's Pick
NO at 81¢ · pays 1.2×
Price gap
Polymarket81¢
→OU's fair85¢
+4¢ underpriced · pays 1.2×
Confidence
Moderate
ISW reports from March 2026 indicate that Russian advances have slowed and Ukrainian forces are successfully contesting the initiative across multiple frontline sectors.
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